STAR PREVIEW Man City v Newcastle

first_imgManchester City experienced their first minor bump in their title defence with a draw at Wolves but they should get back to winning ways against Newcastle at the Etihad.Wolves made life difficult for Guardiola’s men last weekend by being proactive and using the tools they had at their disposal and it’s telling that by the end of the game, City’s centre-backs had lost possession more times than in either of their previous Premier League fixtures this season.Newcastle have used a very different approach, with Rafa Benitez criticised for his extremely conservative approach against Chelsea last week. It nearly worked, however, with a penalty providing the Blues’ breakthrough, and they nearly took a point from the game.That would have been an extremely fortunate result however, and whilst Chelsea are likely to improve as Sarri gets settled in, City are the real deal now and this is likely to be a long day at the office for the Magpies.City started right where they left off with displays of consummate ease against Arsenal and Huddersfield, where the now fit Benjamin Mendy (21/4 to score anytime with was unleashed upon the Premier League.The Frenchman has thrived for being in a back three, and another player who’s getting the best out of the new system is Sergio Aguero (4/11 to score anytime with, who is relishing having a strike partner to play off.Newcastle’s woes at the top have been clear over the summer and bar a decent performance against Tottenham on the opening weekend there’s not been much to cheer on Tyneside. Defeats against Spurs and Chelsea to be expected but the nature of their 0-0 draw against Cardiff was deely dispiriting and it’s hard to see what they can expect here.City should be able to break them down at some point by hook or by crook and the markets reflect that. A two goal handicap is just 21/20 with but City scored three or more goals in 13 of their 19 home league games last term so it’s understandable to get such a short price on that and also Over 3.5 goals.A byproduct of City dominance is games with plenty of corners and cards as teams struggle to stop the onslaught and both could offer an interesting strategy into the game. Newcastle’s game with Chelsea was heavy on cards – four yellows were dished out, three to Newcastle – and their encounter with Spurs had four yellows too.Manchester City v NewcastlePremier League17:30 BT Sport 1 / BT Sport UHD/4KHEAD TO HEAD RECORD(Maximum 10 matches)JAN 2018 PREMIER LEAGUE Manchester City 3-1 NewcastleDEC 2017 PREMIER LEAGUE Newcastle 0-1 Manchester CityAPR 2016 PREMIER LEAGUE Newcastle 1-1 Manchester CityOCT 2015 PREMIER LEAGUE Manchester City 6-1 NewcastleFEB 2015 PREMIER LEAGUE Manchester City 5-0 NewcastleOCT 2015 PREMIER LEAGUE Manchester City 0-2 NewcastleAUG 2014 PREMIER LEAGUE Newcastle 0-2 Manchester CityJAN 2014 PREMIER LEAGUE Newcastle 0-2 Manchester CityOCT 2013 CAPITAL ONE CUP Newcastle 0-2 Manchester CityAUG 2013 PREMIER LEAGUE Manchester City 4-0 NewcastleAll of Newcastle’s games have passed the line of 22.5 bookings points so far this season and so have three of Manchester City’s, which makes the 10/11 on overs look interesting.This game could also be one when backing over 10.5 corners makes sense. City earned nine against Wolves (who had five of their own), 10 against Huddersfield and Arsenal.RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)BACK OVER 10.5 CORNERS 5pts at 10/11 with starsports.betBACK OVER 22.5 BOOKINGS POINTS 5pts at 17/20 with PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 153.11 points(not including Fourth Test, Test series recommendations and Premier League ante-post)last_img read more