Share This!I am a HUGE fan of mobile order at Walt Disney World. If I’m eating quick service in the theme parks, mobile order is absolutely my preferred way of obtaining food. No waiting in lines. No bumping into other people. Just a few clicks on your phone and your food is ready.Mobile order is now available at most quick service restaurants in the WDW theme parks and at a few of the resort food courts. Take a look at this screenshot of the My Disney Experience app and you’ll find mobile order locations in just part of the Magic Kingdom.But in all of Disney Springs, with its many, many places to eat, there is only one Mobile Order location noted on the Disney app. That one place is D-Luxe Burger, which is fine, but sometimes you want other options.However, there are other mobile order spots at Disney Springs not noted on the Disney maps and app: Earl of Sandwich and Starbucks.Earl of Sandwich is a fan favorite spot for tasty, inexpensive sandwiches. To get mobile order here, download the Earl of Sandwich app and select the Disney Springs location. A similar strategy works for the two Starbucks locations at Disney Springs. Download the Starbucks app and select one of the Disney Springs locations – and remember that there are two locations, so choose the one you want. (Note: mobile order does NOT work at the Starbucks locations inside the theme parks.)Much like using OpenTable for Disney table service dining, using restaurants’ own apps can help you get the food you want, when you want it.Are you a fan of mobile ordering? Let us know in the comments.
Share This!One of my favorite aspects of the Epcot World Showcase pavilions is that they sell items that have nothing to do with Disney. Sure, there are usually Disney tee shirt tie-ins, or plush character representations of the countries, but alongside the branded merchandise is a bunch of stuff that’s just randomly representative of the country’s zeitgeist.In that vein, there are now large displays of plush corgi dogs for sale in the UK pavilion. Corgis have long been the favored animal companions of Britain’s Queen Elizabeth II. The Queen’s dogs are practically synonymous with the kingdom itself. And so, for $18.99, you too can have a pet to watch The Crown with.
As we all are well aware, the holiday shopping season seems to be starting earlier with each passing year. It was October when I saw the first commercial advertising for the holiday season.While holiday shopping patterns in retail stores is something we may all notice, there are other areas within the business that may not be as visible to the customer but are just as impactful on the business. The one thing that I have witnessed firsthand is how retailers’ new strategy of providing more options to consumers earlier in the shopping season is affecting issues in supply chain management.“Peak,” as it is referred to, is the time leading up to Christmas when holiday order volume increases dramatically. That’s roughly fourteen weeks of what is now becoming pure chaos for logistics providers.- Sponsor – Here are two key areas where the industry is failing to keep up with the changes in holiday shopping habits and some basic steps that can be taken to address the growing issues in supply chain management.Volume Projections: It’s a Guessing GameMost retailers have analytic models that produce estimated volume projections to determine the number of orders that will be passing through the supply chain network. This information is passed on to contracted transportation providers, allowing them to plan for the staffing models necessary to handle the anticipated product volume.Despite all the computer analytics being used, the one thing that cannot be easily forecasted is how online ordering can be affected by the unpredictability of human behavior. This is especially true from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday. In talking with my loss prevention peers in both retail and transportation, consumer sentiment was grossly underestimated going into the holiday season. So regardless of the current political atmosphere, the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, or the potential that North Korea may launch a nuclear bomb, US consumers were ready to spend money this holiday season.This buying atmosphere creates both a positive and negative scenario for businesses in the supply chain. The obvious positive result is an increase in revenue. However, a less-than-ideal result follows when unplanned volume cripples the infrastructure that moves parcels along the supply chain. This would be the equivalent of a dam breaking fifty miles upriver with all the towns downriver flooded as a result—except the flood comes in the form of packages.To avoid this type of catastrophe from occurring again, retailers must do a better job of preparing for holiday issues in supply chain management. It’s crucial to be ready for a potential spike in online sales and projecting product volumes in real time. This may be challenging since most of these online orders are being placed during the Thanksgiving holiday when the majority of corporate America is out of the office. One solution would be to have retailers streamline the flow of information to logistics providers by providing daily volume-trend monitoring that is communicated immediately to transportation providers.Transportation, Bottlenecks, and a Tangled InfrastructureThe majority of retailers that do business online don’t have their own transportation infrastructure. This means they have to contract out transportation companies to move freight, which can cause additional issues in supply chain management. One of the most costly services in business is transportation. Therefore, most companies will look for the most cost-effective way to move that box from the warehouse to the client. This cost will vary greatly depending on several factors, which include:The time it takes to deliver the package,The distance the package has to travel, andThe method of delivery.Typically, the more convenient the process is for the customer, the higher the transportation cost will be for the retailer. As a result, most companies will look for a balanced approach that will satisfy both the customer expectation and the costs associated with transporting the order.What this means is that everyone is ultimately contracting with everyone else, and parcels can easily transit multiple companies before reaching your doorstep. With each touch point is an exposure to a parcel being lost or stolen. It is difficult to investigate losses in this network when volumes are normal. Add 50 percent or greater volume in a very short time span, and investigating loss becomes nearly impossible.Some of the contributing factors to this loss include lack of management oversight, mis-shipped packages, and theft that is camouflaged due to operational failures. It is critical for transportation providers to be able to plan and manage this volume appropriately.The most common areas where loss occurs during peak are during the morning launch of drivers. This is when the terminal has the most amount of freight on the floor and the least amount of management oversight. Transportation managers should also focus on conducting spot audits of drivers prior to them launching. This will not only keep the drivers honest but also allow management to find misloaded packages that occurred by mistake.Learn more about the third key area where the industry is failing to keep up with changes in holiday shopping habits in the full article, “The Fallout of Holiday Peak,” which was originally published in 2018. This excerpt was updated May 28, 2019. Stay UpdatedGet critical information for loss prevention professionals, security and retail management delivered right to your inbox. Sign up now
With business schools coming up by the dozens across India, it’s not just young aspirants who have to face stiff competition during entrance exams but institutes today have to constantly reinvent themselves to stay at the top of the game. ITM Business School Mumbai has made constant efforts to stay,With business schools coming up by the dozens across India, it’s not just young aspirants who have to face stiff competition during entrance exams but institutes today have to constantly reinvent themselves to stay at the top of the game. ITM Business School Mumbai has made constant efforts to stay ahead of the curve. Established in 1991, ITM was one of the first private B-schools in India and today counts itself among the country’s top 50. It was ranked at number 41 and at 49 in the Business Today Survey 2014.Continuing with the practice of introducing industry-validated programmes, ITM plans to launch an exclusive course in Entrepreneurship in association with the National Entrepreneurship Network (NEN)- an organisation launched in 2003, which aims at educating and supporting potential entrepreneurs in India.”Entrepreneurship has a very important role in the context of a developing nation like India. ITM is planning to soon introduce a post-graduate diploma in management for young entrepreneurs,” says Ganesh Raja, director, ITM Business School.ITM also provides two-year iConnect PGDM programmes with specialisation options that include finance, human resource management, marketing and digital media, hospitality management and pharma management. Speaking about the intensive programmes, Raja says, “It was pertinent to rebalance the curricula with a greater focus on skill building, personality development and techniques that are central to the practice of management.” He adds that the course was redesigned with a focus on aligning academia with the industry. “Therefore the duration of the internship period has been scaled up to five months, typically replicating a probation period. The ITM – PGDM iConnect programme is radically different, rebuilt to deliver targeted learning, real-world experience and all-round personal development,” says Raja.advertisementApart from academics, ITM also hosts a number of extra-curricular activities. On the one hand there’s Macrino, their Mad Ad Show, that aims to inspire new ideas for brand building, promotions and marketing communication and on the other there’s Kurukshetra, the annual inter college sports event. ITM also hosts C2C- Campus to Corporate, an event organised to felicitate all our corporate associates who are either our recruiters or internship companies. Having won awards like the NEN Premier Award for Entrepreneurship in 2014 and MBA Universe award for best B-school with industry linkage at the Indian Management Conclave 2013, ITM is clearly heading in the right direction.
APTN National NewsYellowknife was plunged into darkness Wednesday night.When a super thunder storm and smoke from forest first combined, it durned the sky an eerie hue.As APTN’s Wayne Rivers reports, the storm has been dubbed by some residents as “apocalyptic.”
Last year, with quarterback Aaron Rodgers missing half the season due to a broken collarbone, the Packers finished with just an 8-7-1 record, and gave up more points than they scored. Despite all that, they still eked out an NFC North division championship for the third year in a row.In the eight games in which Rodgers played more than the opening drive, the Packers went 6-2 with an average margin of victory of 7.4 points. In the eight games that featured the smorgasbord1Matt Flynn, Scott Tolzien and Seneca Wallace all started games in Rodgers’s absence. of Packers backups, they went 2-5-1 with an average margin of defeat of 8.8 points. It’s difficult to disentangle a quarterback’s performance from that of his teammates (or his coaches), but the Packers’ 2013 results are perhaps the best evidence yet that Rodgers is the real deal.2Though not quite Peyton-esque.Since Rodgers took over for Brett Favre in 2008, the Packers have been one of the NFL’s best franchises. They’ve won the fourth-most games (they’re in essentially a four-way-tie behind the Patriots) and a Super Bowl (as many of those as anyone else over that period, and one more than the Patriots). ESPN’s Total Quarterback Rating (QBR) is one of the most all-encompassing quarterback rating systems out there today.3Note this isn’t necessarily a compliment. In a phenomenon I like to call “The Paradox of Quarterback Metrics,” beyond a certain point, the more information a QB metric takes into account, the less it tends to tell you about the quarterback. Rodgers’s QBR in the last six years is 72.9, second only to Peyton Manning’s 80.7. Rodgers performs fantastically well in a variety of other quarterback metrics.But that’s what happens when you a) play for a good team and b) don’t throw interceptions. These are strongly related. Most interceptions are thrown when the quarterback’s team is trailing (about twice as many as when it’s ahead), and they become more and more likely the more his team is down or the closer they come to the end of the game4Being ahead or behind one score is 0-8 points, two scores is 9-16 points, three scores is 17+ points.:Interceptions are often (even largely) a product of completely rational risk-taking by desperate quarterbacks. A logical implication of this is that if a quarterback is too conservative, he can throw too few interceptions, which can be just as bad as throwing too many.Despite his various successes, it’s possible Rodgers fits this description of an overly conservative quarterback. For example, with his team down by two or more scores (9+ points) he has thrown only three interceptions out of 354 passes attempted (0.8 percent) in his career. This is typically when quarterbacks throw the most INTs, because they’re trying to get their teams back into the game, and high-risk strategies often give them the best chance to win. Overall, quarterbacks throw interceptions about 3.5 percent of the time on average in those situations, with even most great quarterbacks breaking 3.0 percent. Peyton Manning, for example, has averaged 3.1 percent, Drew Brees has averaged 3.3 percent, and even Tom Brady has thrown 2.3 percent (slightly above his career average).5Based on play-by-play from 2001 through 2013.Being insufficiently willing to gamble even when circumstances are dire can be good for a QB’s stats, while bad for his team. And there’s evidence of this in Rodgers’s record as well: He has only engineered six fourth-quarter comebacks in his career — good for 149th all time (Russell Wilson already has eight).There’s nothing wrong with giving your team the lead and then keeping it.6I vividly but hazily recall this being Troy Aikman’s response when someone asked him about his lack of fourth-quarter comebacks back in the ’90s — and he had one about every 10 games. But Rodgers has averaged one fourth-quarter comeback every 14.5 games. This is staggeringly low, even for a player whose team isn’t behind that often. Brady has played for an even more consistently good team and has a fourth-quarter comeback once every 6.2 games. Both brothers Manning have averaged one every six games, Ben Roethlisberger has one every 6.2, Drew Brees and Joe Flacco have one about every eight. Favre (surprisingly) had one only every 9.9 games.But the good news for Packers fans is that Rodgers has some pretty low-hanging room for improvement: If he starts taking more calculated risks (likely sacrificing his stats a little in the process), the Pack may be even more dangerous.Chicago BearsExpected wins: 8.4Playoff probability: 39 percent (25 percent to win the NFC North)Super Bowl win probability: 3 percent Editor’s Note: FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped.Green Bay PackersExpected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 9.4Playoff probability: 55 percent (41 percent to win the NFC North)Super Bowl win probability: 6 percent This includes a record 13 touchdowns (the previous career record for any punt returner was 10). Hester also has five touchdowns from kickoff returns (good for eighth on the all-time list9Despite playing for a good defensive team for much of his career and not even returning kicks full-time for parts of it.) and is looking to break his present tie with Deion Sanders for most non-offensive touchdowns in NFL history.Kick and punt returns normally aren’t a big enough part of the game for a good returner to produce much value unless he also does other things well. But Hester is so insanely good he may be as close to an exception as you’ll ever see.Determining how much value Hester added on kick returns is relatively simple. Taken on a season-by-season basis, a typical NFL kick returner would have scored about 1.8 touchdowns on Hester’s attempts, while Hester had 6.0. This leads to about an extra .20 points per game.10Actually it’s .204 points per game, compared to .208 if you estimate the value of additional field position directly.But where things get interesting is with punts. With teams taking such crazy measures to avoid giving him the ball, Chicago’s punt return game benefited greatly whether Hester actually touched the ball or not.11Giving Hester credit for Chicago’s entire return game is neither an aggressive nor a conservative assumption. If the rest of the special teams squad was below average, it’s possible that Hester provided even more value than the squad as a whole.Since 2006, when Hester joined the team, Chicago has had the highest number of yards per punt return, resulting in the best average starting position, and has scored a touchdown on one of every 21 returns. The average for teams other than Chicago was one TD every 82 punt returns. And that’s not even counting all the times other teams punted short or out of bounds to avoid a return.According to ESPN’s “expected points added” metric, Chicago’s punt return game was worth about .15 expected points over expectation for each of the 668 punts they faced, or about .80 points per game total.Combining this .80 with the .20 Hester gained returning kickoffs, he was probably worth around 1 point per game overall.We’re obviously not talking Aaron Rodgers-type value here. But football is a 46-on-46 sport: It’s hard for any one player (aside from a quarterback) to matter much. A reliable 1 point per game is pretty significant.Chicago had an average margin of -2.1 points per game last year, so with Hester’s departure, let’s say the team is starting out in a 3-point hole. If the offense gets worse or the defense gets better, it could go either way from there.Detroit LionsExpected wins: 8.3Playoff probability: 38 percent (25 percent to win the NFC North)Super Bowl win probability: 3 percent Last season, the Chicago Bears finished 8-8, fitting for a team with one of the best offenses (not led by Peyton Manning) and one of the worst defenses in football. That’s a good excuse to talk about their special teams.For as yet unknown reasons, Chicago let its best player7Relative to his position. go.While Devin Hester never developed into the double-threat for Chicago that the team hoped (much less the triple-threat he was at the University of Miami), he is almost certainly the greatest punt returner in NFL history.8Some of that field position is no doubt due to Hester’s reputation and the fact that teams went to great lengths trying to avoid kicking him the ball — so he probably grabbed the ball in better positions. But the average Chicago field position from a non-Hester return was around the 30 yard line. And the fact that Hester was able to take so many returns and still do so much with them is remarkable in its own right. Last year the Detroit Lions finished 7-9, the second-highest win total of quarterback Matthew Stafford’s career. Despite throwing for 4,650 yards and 29 TDs, Stafford now faces headlines like this one from Fox Sports: “Stafford needs to bounce back in a big way.”According to that article, Stafford “must cut down on his crucial mistakes when it’s make-or-break time.” Presumably, this refers to the six fourth-quarter interceptions Stafford threw in one-score games last year.But, see above: Interceptions are hard to interpret. Stafford also had seven touchdowns under those circumstances, and four of his six interceptions were with his team trailing.12Also known as the best time to throw interceptions. So let’s break down Stafford’s interception rate a bit further:With his team down 2+ scores, his interception rate is 2.5 percent. If anything, this may be too low.With his team down one score or less, his interception rate is 2.8 percent. This is probably just about right.With the game tied, his interception rate is 2.2 percent, which is below average.With his team up 2+ scores, his interception rate is about 3 percent, which is a little high, but not necessarily a problem considering the sample size.With his team up one score or less, his interception rate is pretty high: 3.8 percent overall and a whopping 6.7 percent in the second quarter.In other words, if there’s one spot where Stafford has been making an unusually high number of mistakes it hasn’t been “make-or-break time,” it has been earlier in the game, when his team is up one or fewer scores and most QBs would play it safe (league average interception rate is around 2.3 percent under those circumstances).Of course, while throwing interceptions with your team up one score isn’t generally wise, it could be worth it if it’s helping you gain a ton of touchdowns. Indeed, Stafford throws a good number of TDs in these situations.While that 4.5 percent is good, it’s only 0.5 percentage points better than average — in other words, it’s not a very good trade-off considering his interception rate under these circumstances is 1.5 percentage points higher than average.To generalize a bit, you can think of the sum of a player’s touchdown rate and interception rate as his “aggression level.” Stafford is a fairly aggressive quarterback overall, but his aggression level while ahead by one score or less in the second quarter is 10.4 percent, which is off the charts compared to the league average of 6.8 percent. This isn’t really the best time to get aggressive, and it isn’t really working for him.Minnesota VikingsExpected wins: 6.5Playoff probability: 17 percent (9 percent to win the NFC North)Super Bowl win probability: 1 percent Adrian Peterson now has more than 10,000 yards rushing and 91 touchdowns in his seven-year career, giving him over 2,000 more yards and 24 more touchdowns than anyone in the last seven years. Yet the Vikings finished 5-10-1 last year, their third 10-loss season in four years. They haven’t had a top-10 offense since Brett Favre’s miracle year, nor before that since the Randy Moss era.The utility of the running game in football is still an open question. While pass-heavy offensive approaches typically gain points (and wins) more efficiently than run-heavy ones, we’re nowhere near game-theoretical dominance. In other words, however marginal it may become, the running game still has its uses:The threat of the running game forces defenses to defend multiple strategies, which makes the passing game more efficient.It’s low-risk and eats up the clock: A team that is ahead may be willing to give up a small amount of per-play value in order to shorten the remainder of the game and decrease the chances of a costly turnover.Runs gain positive yards more consistently than passes, which can be useful in a number of ways beyond average yardage. For example, very good running backs (or running games) set up a higher number of second-and-short situations than passes do, and these can be better than first downs.Of course for Nos. 1 and 2 to work most efficiently, you have to run effectively. And running effectively mostly means No. 3.While Peterson breaks a larger share of long runs than typical running backs, he is neither a consistent gainer nor a producer of high-leverage situations.Obviously Adrian Peterson’s long runs are worth something: They’re worth a lot of yards. But yards are easier than ever to come by in today’s game. No matter how great a running back is at breaking long ones, he’s not going to be as efficient at gobbling up yards as his team’s passing game is (no matter how mediocre the team’s quarterbacks are).On the other hand, the better a team is at strategically maximizing the running game, the more valuable those “bonus” yards become — because the running plays that produce them are no longer taking the place of passes.In other words, if you can’t run consistently, it doesn’t matter if you can break a bunch of long runs, because you’d still be better off passing. But if you can run consistently, those long runs become gravy.None of this is to say that Peterson’s shortcomings necessarily reflect poorly on his running skills, no more than we can say the same for any running back’s underperformance. Peterson has simply produced a little below average at the bread-and-butter stuff that keeps the running game relevant, and this undercuts the value of his long runs considerably. With a better offensive line, or quarterback, Peterson’s value would improve doubly.Read more of FiveThirtyEight’s NFL season previews.
Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Turks and Caicos is first to add Disaster Management to the Tourism portfolio Related Items:causeway, DDME, fortis tci, hurriicane joaquin TCI: Hard-working DDME lauded as Hurricane Preparedness Month officially opened TCI: More active Hurricane Season predicted and DDME gives thorough update on its readiness Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 07 Oct 2015 – A Lew 1 Shipping tug boat was lost, a barge owned by Clay Arthur is ruined and vehicles in the parking lot of Belfield Landing in Kew, North Caicos were destroyed and that is just some of the damages on the country’s bread basket island after the recent storm. Reports continue to come in on the losses from Hurricane Joaquin, which last week, for three days battered the islands in its outer bands as it moved up the TCI and Bahamas archipelago. It is said, some owners of those parked vehicles at Belfield are not yet even aware of the loss. The Premier, following a Saturday damage assessment tour of affected islands did say the Government farm was hard hit and Magnetic Media has learned that specifically means trees are uprooted with a substantial loss in fruit trees at the site. FortisTCI has also been summoned to North Caicos to sort out a twist of trees and power lines near the Government farm. Flooding this time around in the North was minimal, water has subsided and only debris is left for clean-up. The causeway is under phase two construction right now following battering in the 2008 hurricane season, and the temporary roadway created as a bypass between North and Middle Caicos while work continues, has been underwater since the storm; reports are it was impassable.There was also a truck lost in the hurricane; the Public Works Department vehicle was washed away by a giant wave, we are told. The Disaster Management Department will speak to Magnetic Media later today as it continues damage assessment and confronts public criticism that there was insufficient information coming and that caused residents to be unprepared for the ferociousness of Hurricane Joaquin. Recommended for you